Probability board
Tech markets
What Polymarket and Kalshi traders give each outcome right now, most active first. Updated 6m ago.
Will any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Apr…
Kalshi · $2.7K today
63%▼ 8.0pt
Will Open AI or Anthropic IPO first?
Kalshi · $1K today
93%▼ 1.5pt
Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first?
Kalshi · $76 today
8%▲ +1.0pt
DOJ wins their anti-trust case against Apple?
Kalshi · $7 today
29%▼ 1.0pt
Will a court find that OpenAI has infringed the copyright of the New York Times?
Kalshi · $0 today
59%– 0.0pt
Probabilities are market prices, not forecasts we make. Informational only, not financial advice. Browse every market or compare the two platforms.