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What Polymarket and Kalshi traders give each outcome right now, most active first. Updated 6m ago.
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Polymarket · $299.4K today
87%– 0.0pt
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Polymarket · $236.2K today
14%– 0.0pt
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?
Polymarket · $92.7K today
60%▲ +8.9pt
Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?
Polymarket · $71.9K today
3%▼ 4.5pt
Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?
Polymarket · $67.7K today
7%▼ 6.3pt
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?
Polymarket · $64K today
30%▲ +4.3pt
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?
Polymarket · $45.9K today
87%▲ +25.5pt
Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the …
Polymarket · $36.1K today
64%▲ +2.0pt
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?
Polymarket · $25.2K today
3%– 0.2pt
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October?
Polymarket · $14.7K today
61%▼ 33.5pt
Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Sena…
Polymarket · $8K today
2%▼ 0.8pt
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 2.74% on Dec 31, 2027?
Kalshi · $6.7K today
52%▼ 38.0pt
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Polymarket · $1.7K today
97%– 0.0pt
Will Josh O'Connor be the next James Bond?
Kalshi · $817 today
22%▼ 2.5pt
Will any member of the Cabinet (defined as: the Vice President, Secretary of State, Secretary o…
Kalshi · $365 today
6%– 0.2pt
Will Jack Lowden be the next James Bond?
Kalshi · $296 today
35%▼ 3.0pt
Will Henry Cavill be the next James Bond?
Kalshi · $178 today
4%– 0.0pt
Will Jacob Elordi be the next James Bond?
Kalshi · $74 today
7%– 0.0pt
Will Callum Turner be the next James Bond?
Kalshi · $38 today
31%– 0.5pt
Will the number of unemployment rate exceeds 10% (monthly BLS); S&P 500 declines more than 30% …
Kalshi · $29 today
21%– 0.0pt
Will Aaron Taylor-Johnson be the next James Bond?
Kalshi · $10 today
4%– 0.0pt
Will Theo James be the next James Bond?
Kalshi · $2 today
5%– 0.0pt
Will Tom Francis be the next James Bond?
Kalshi · $0 today
5%– 0.5pt
Will Tom Holland be the next James Bond?
Kalshi · $0 today
2%– 0.0pt
Will Idris Elba be the next James Bond?
Kalshi · $0 today
8%– 0.0pt
Will Harris Dickinson be the next James Bond?
Kalshi · $0 today
5%– 0.0pt
Will Damson Idris be the next James Bond?
Kalshi · $0 today
4%– 0.0pt
Probabilities are market prices, not forecasts we make. Informational only, not financial advice. Browse every market or compare the two platforms.