Probability board
Economy markets
What Polymarket and Kalshi traders give each outcome right now, most active first. Updated 6m ago.
Will there be a recession in 2027?
Kalshi · $6.5K today
22%▲ +1.0pt
Will the Federal Reserve hike rates by December 31, 2026?
Kalshi · $3.2K today
79%▲ +2.0pt
Will China overtake US GDP by 2030?
Kalshi · $1 today
19%– 0.0pt
Will quarterly GDP be above 5% in any quarter in Q1 2025 to Q4 2028?
Kalshi · $0 today
33%– 0.2pt
Probabilities are market prices, not forecasts we make. Informational only, not financial advice. Browse every market or compare the two platforms.