Calendar

What is coming up

The dates that move markets, with what Polymarket and Kalshi traders expect for each.

Key dates

28Oct

Fed rate decision (FOMC)

Wednesday · in 11 days

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Polymarket · $297.7K today 87%– 0.0pt Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Polymarket · $235K today 14%– 0.0pt

3Nov

US midterm elections

Tuesday · in 17 days

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Polymarket · $281.5K today 91%– 0.0pt 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House Polymarket · $266.1K today 9%– 0.0pt

6Nov

US jobs report (October)

Friday · in 20 days

Will the number of unemployment rate exceeds 10% (monthly BLS); S&P 500 declines more than 30% … Kalshi · $29 today 21%– 0.0pt

10Nov

US inflation report, CPI (October)

Tuesday · in 24 days

Will the number of unemployment rate exceeds 10% (monthly BLS); S&P 500 declines more than 30% … Kalshi · $29 today 21%– 0.0pt

4Dec

US jobs report (November)

Friday · in 48 days

Will the number of unemployment rate exceeds 10% (monthly BLS); S&P 500 declines more than 30% … Kalshi · $29 today 21%– 0.0pt

9Dec

Fed rate decision (FOMC)

Wednesday · in 53 days

10Dec

US inflation report, CPI (November)

Thursday · in 54 days

Will the number of unemployment rate exceeds 10% (monthly BLS); S&P 500 declines more than 30% … Kalshi · $29 today 21%– 0.0pt

Markets closing in the next 10 days

17Oct

Saturday · Today

Valorant: Team Vitality vs 100 Thieves (BO5) - VCT Champions Playoffs Polymarket · $894.5K today 35%▼ 5.0pt LoL: BNK FEARX vs Team WE (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs Polymarket · $491.1K today 70%▲ +2.0pt Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-17? Polymarket · $411.7K today 41%▼ 3.0pt

18Oct

Sunday · Tomorrow

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5 Polymarket · $320.6K today 51%▼ 2.0pt Saints vs. Giants Polymarket · $173.8K today 51%▼ 1.0pt Panthers vs. Eagles Polymarket · $62.6K today 62%▼ 2.0pt

19Oct

Monday · in 2 days

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18? Polymarket · $195.9K today 97%▲ +0.6pt US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18? Polymarket · $128.2K today 96%▼ 0.6pt Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 12-18? Polymarket · $61.8K today 3%▲ +1.0pt

20Oct

Tuesday · in 3 days

Will Katie Zacharia be out as White House Press Secretary before Oct 20, 2026? Kalshi · $808K today 96%▲ +89.5pt Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? Polymarket · $18.8K today 11%▲ +2.2pt

22Oct

Thursday · in 5 days

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21? Polymarket · $155.4K today 94%– 0.0pt

23Oct

Friday · in 6 days

US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? Polymarket · $44.6K today 91%– 0.0pt Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026? Polymarket · $13.5K today 8%▲ +3.5pt Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026? Polymarket · $11.8K today 3%▼ 1.4pt

24Oct

Saturday · in 7 days

Ningbo Open, Qualification: Anhelina Kalinina vs Simona Waltert Polymarket · $279.6K today 84%▲ +34.0pt Will Katie Zacharia be out as White House Press Secretary before Oct 24, 2026? Kalshi · $178.5K today 98%▲ +88.5pt Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Polymarket · $152.2K today 78%– 0.0pt

25Oct

Sunday · in 8 days

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians Polymarket · $353.9K today 50%▼ 1.0pt US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? Polymarket · $22.1K today 87%▼ 1.0pt Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians Polymarket · $15.1K today 42%▼ 2.0pt

26Oct

Monday · in 9 days

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%? Polymarket · $174.2K today 9%▼ 1.7pt Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election… Polymarket · $23.2K today 21%▲ +1.0pt

Dates come from the Federal Reserve and the Bureau of Labor Statistics schedules and the election calendar. Odds are market prices, not forecasts we make. Informational only, not financial advice. See the probability board.