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What Polymarket and Kalshi traders give each outcome right now, most active first. Updated 6m ago.
Will Katie Zacharia be out as White House Press Secretary before Oct 20, 2026?
Kalshi · $808.6K today
96%▲ +90.0pt
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Polymarket · $491.5K today
77%▼ 1.2pt
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Polymarket · $438.8K today
24%▲ +2.0pt
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Polymarket · $285.7K today
79%▼ 3.0pt
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Polymarket · $281.5K today
91%– 0.0pt
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Polymarket · $265.9K today
9%– 0.0pt
Will there be no Hormuz agreement?
Polymarket · $206.2K today
91%▼ 2.8pt
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?
Polymarket · $200.4K today
97%– 0.4pt
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Polymarket · $194.1K today
29%▼ 2.0pt
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?
Polymarket · $180.1K today
8%▼ 2.4pt
Will Josh Shapiro be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?
Kalshi · $174.5K today
5%– 0.1pt
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
Polymarket · $160.7K today
6%– 0.0pt
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Polymarket · $130.5K today
6%– 0.0pt
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?
Polymarket · $127.9K today
3%– 0.5pt
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Polymarket · $124.6K today
3%– 0.1pt
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket · $119.9K today
16%– 0.0pt
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?
Polymarket · $112.4K today
76%▼ 2.0pt
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Polymarket · $108.3K today
65%– 0.0pt
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Polymarket · $102.1K today
28%▼ 1.0pt
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Polymarket · $98K today
37%▼ 1.0pt
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?
Polymarket · $90.6K today
4%▲ +1.5pt
Who will win the next presidential election?
Kalshi · $79.7K today
3%– 0.2pt
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Polymarket · $75.4K today
39%▲ +1.0pt
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Polymarket · $72.7K today
7%– 0.1pt
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?
Polymarket · $65.7K today
3%▲ +0.9pt
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Polymarket · $65.3K today
36%– 0.0pt
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Polymarket · $64.4K today
3%– 0.4pt
Will Jon Ossoff be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?
Kalshi · $64.4K today
13%▼ 1.0pt
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary before Jan 20, 2029?
Kalshi · $64.4K today
20%▼ 4.0pt
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Polymarket · $60.9K today
63%– 0.0pt
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