Polymarket + Kalshi
Politics markets
2,632 live markets. Odds are the market's probability that the answer is Yes.
Will Katie Zacharia be out as White House Press Secretary before Jan 1, 2027?
Vol $114.5K today · $364.4K total · resolves in 75d
100%
– 0.0pt
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Vol $109.2K today · $2.9M total · resolves in 75d
26%
– 0.0pt
Will Zohran Mamdani be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?
Vol $108.9K today · $9.8M total · resolves in 25mo
0%
– 0.0pt
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Vol $104.1K today · $2.2M total · resolves in 17d
38%
– 0.0pt
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Vol $97.1K today · $5.7M total · resolves in 17d
63%
– 0.0pt
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Vol $93.5K today · $2.4M total · resolves in 14d
86%
▲ +3.0pt
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?
Vol $92.8K today · $154.3K total · resolves in 17d
60%
▲ +8.8pt
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?
Vol $86.1K today · $939.9K total · resolves in 14d
1%
– 0.1pt
Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?
Vol $81.2K today · $177.6K total · resolves in 17d
6%
▼ 7.6pt
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
Vol $79.1K today · $5.2M total · resolves in 14d
7%
▲ +2.0pt
Who will win the next presidential election?
Vol $79K today · $2.6M total · resolves in 37mo
3%
– 0.2pt
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary before Jan 20, 2029?
Vol $77.8K today · $78K total · resolves in 28mo
19%
▼ 5.5pt
Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?
Vol $76.3K today · $158.1K total · resolves in 17d
2%
▼ 5.7pt
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?
Vol $72K today · $225K total · resolves in 17d
4%
▲ +1.4pt
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Vol $71.7K today · $14.1M total · resolves in 25mo
7%
– 0.1pt
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Vol $68.3K today · $7.7M total · resolves in 17d
9%
▼ 1.0pt
Who will win the next presidential election?
Vol $67.3K today · $2.3M total · resolves in 37mo
0%
– 0.2pt
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?
Vol $66.3K today · $106.2K total · resolves in 17d
30%
▲ +4.5pt
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?
Vol $64.5K today · $1.8M total · resolves in 75d
17%
– 0.0pt
Who will win the next presidential election?
Vol $64.2K today · $4.7M total · resolves in 37mo
10%
– 0.3pt
Who will win the next presidential election?
Vol $64.1K today · $5.7M total · resolves in 37mo
9%
– 0.0pt
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
Vol $63.7K today · $773.9K total · resolves in 17d
29%
▼ 1.0pt
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Vol $63.5K today · $11M total · resolves in 25mo
3%
– 0.3pt
Will Jon Ossoff be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?
Vol $63.2K today · $9.1M total · resolves in 25mo
14%
– 0.0pt
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Vol $62.7K today · $7.7M total · resolves in 17d
10%
– 0.0pt