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Kalshi Politics

Will Ted Lieu be the next Speaker of the House?

Resolves Jan 1, 2031

4%chance
▲ 4.0pt over 17h
0%50%100%Nov 5Nov 6

Kalshi traders are currently pricing "Will Ted Lieu be the next Speaker of the House?" at a 4% probability, up over the last 17h (+4 point change).

Volume (24h)
$703
Total volume
$703
Liquidity
$0
Open interest
$703
All-time range
0% – 4%
Our history
17 hours
Resolves
51mo

How this resolves

If Ted Lieu is the first Speaker of the House after Mike Johnson, before Jan 1, 2031, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution rules as published by Kalshi — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.

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It is at 4% now. Pick the number you care about.

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Odds are mirrored from Kalshi's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.

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