Polymarket + Kalshi
Politics markets
2,645 live markets. Odds are the market's probability that the answer is Yes.
Will Katie Zacharia be out as White House Press Secretary before Oct 20, 2026?
Vol $808.6K today · $1.1M total · resolves in 3d
96%
▲ +90.0pt
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Vol $491.5K today · $21.5M total
77%
▼ 1.2pt
Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Vol $482.5K today · $1.2M total · resolves in 25mo
0%
– 0.1pt
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Vol $438.8K today · $25.3M total
24%
▲ +2.0pt
Will Katie Zacharia be out as White House Press Secretary before Nov 1, 2026?
Vol $317.7K today · $479.3K total · resolves in 15d
99%
▲ +82.5pt
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Vol $285.7K today · $3.5M total · resolves in 15d
79%
▼ 3.0pt
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Vol $281.5K today · $10.5M total · resolves in 18d
91%
– 0.0pt
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Vol $265.9K today · $7.6M total · resolves in 18d
9%
– 0.0pt
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?
Vol $265.5K today · $497.2K total · resolves in 17h
98%
▲ +1.0pt
Will Katie Zacharia be out as White House Press Secretary before Dec 1, 2026?
Vol $247.2K today · $265.5K total · resolves in 45d
100%
▲ +59.0pt
Will there be no Hormuz agreement?
Vol $206.2K today · $455.8K total · resolves in 18d
91%
▼ 2.8pt
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?
Vol $200.4K today · $431.7K total · resolves in 41h
97%
– 0.4pt
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Vol $194.1K today · $7.8M total · resolves in 11d
29%
▼ 2.0pt
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?
Vol $180.1K today · $548.5K total · resolves in 9d
8%
▼ 2.4pt
Will Katie Zacharia be out as White House Press Secretary before Oct 24, 2026?
Vol $178.8K today · $267.3K total · resolves in 7d
98%
▲ +89.0pt
Will Josh Shapiro be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?
Vol $174.5K today · $5.9M total · resolves in 25mo
5%
– 0.1pt
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
Vol $160.7K today · $5.1M total · resolves in 15d
6%
– 0.0pt
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?
Vol $155.4K today · $361.8K total · resolves in 5d
94%
– 0.0pt
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Vol $134.4K today · $2.3M total · resolves in 14d
84%
– 0.0pt
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Vol $130.5K today · $27.3M total · resolves in 76d
6%
– 0.0pt
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?
Vol $127.9K today · $2.6M total · resolves in 6mo
3%
– 0.5pt
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?
Vol $127.8K today · $176.3K total · resolves in 41h
96%
▼ 0.6pt
Will Katie Zacharia be out as White House Press Secretary before Jan 1, 2027?
Vol $126.1K today · $360.3K total · resolves in 76d
100%
▲ +53.5pt
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Vol $124.6K today · $15.1M total · resolves in 76d
3%
– 0.1pt
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Vol $119.9K today · $74.4M total · resolves in 76d
16%
– 0.0pt