Kalshi Politics

Will Li Qiang become the next leader of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) before Jan 1, 2045?

Resolves Jan 1, 2045

21%chance

– 0.5pt over 23h

Kalshi traders are currently pricing "Will Li Qiang become the next leader of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) before Jan 1, 2045?" at a 21% probability, roughly flat over the last 23h (+0.5 point change).

Volume (24h): $0
Total volume: $14.7K
Liquidity: $0
Open interest: $1.7K
All-time range: 15% – 26%
Our history: 9 days
Resolves: 222mo

How this resolves

If Li Qiang is announced as the first new non-interim leader of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) before Jan 1, 2045, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution rules as published by Kalshi — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.

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Odds are mirrored from Kalshi's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.

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Will Li Qiang become the next leader of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) before Jan 1, 2045?

How this resolves

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