Kalshi Politics

Will the Republican party win the Senate in 2030?

Resolves Feb 1, 2031

42%chance

– 0.0pt over 10h

Kalshi traders are currently pricing "Will the Republican party win the Senate in 2030?" at a 42% probability, roughly flat over the last 10h (0 point change).

Volume (24h): $0
Total volume: $0
Liquidity: $0
Our history: 10 hours
Resolves: 52mo

How this resolves

If the Republican party has won control of the Senate in 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution rules as published by Kalshi — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.

Trade on Kalshi ↗ Compare

Alert me when the odds move

It is at 42% now. Pick the number you care about.

Embed these odds on your site

Paste this where you want the card. It updates by itself and links back here. Add &theme=dark to the address for a dark card.

<iframe src="https://meleemarkets.com/embed.php?m=435373" width="340" height="200" style="border:0;border-radius:16px;max-width:100%" loading="lazy" title="Live odds: Will the Republican party win the Senate in 2030?"></iframe>

Odds are mirrored from Kalshi's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.

View all

Polymarket Politics

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Vol $563.5K today · $78.9M total · resolves in 53d

12% ▲ +1.0pt

Polymarket Politics

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Vol $428.5K today · $45.8M total · resolves in 53d

2% ▼ 0.9pt

Will the Republican party win the Senate in 2030?

How this resolves

What do you think?

More Politics markets