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Kalshi Politics

Will an AI catastrophic-risk duty of care become U.S. law before Jan 1, 2027?

Resolves Jan 1, 2027

6%chance
– 0.5pt over 37h
0%50%100%Oct 9Oct 19

Kalshi traders are currently pricing "Will an AI catastrophic-risk duty of care become U.S. law before Jan 1, 2027?" at a 6% probability, roughly flat over the last 37h (-0.5 point change).

Volume (24h)
$0
Total volume
$2.4K
Liquidity
$0
Open interest
$1.4K
All-time range
6% – 7%
Our history
10 days
Resolves
74d

How this resolves

If federal legislation imposing an AI catastrophic-risk duty of care has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution rules as published by Kalshi — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.

Alert me when the odds move

It is at 6% now. Pick the number you care about.

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Odds are mirrored from Kalshi's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.

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