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Polymarket vs. Kalshi

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See where the two biggest prediction markets disagree. Pick any two markets, or start from the biggest gaps below: prices, volume, history and the resolution rules, side by side.

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Kalshi Politics

Will an AI catastrophic-risk duty of care become U.S. law before Jan 1, 2027?

6% – 0.5pt

Vol $0 today · $2.4K total

Informational only — not financial advice. Odds are mirrored from each platform and may lag the live order book.