Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?
Polymarket traders are currently pricing "Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?" at a 2% probability, roughly flat over the last 3h (+0.1 point change).
- Volume (24h)
- $21.7K
- Total volume
- $1.1M
- Liquidity
- $88.9K
- All-time range
- 2% – 2%
- Our history
- 3 hours
- Resolves
- 56d
How this resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Resolution rules as published by Polymarket — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.
Odds are mirrored from Polymarket's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.