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Polymarket Politics

Will Tom Homan leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Resolves Jan 1, 2027

18%chance
▼ 3.0pt over 9h
0%50%100%Nov 5Nov 6

Polymarket traders are currently pricing "Will Tom Homan leave the Trump administration before 2027?" at a 18% probability, down over the last 9h (-3 point change).

Volume (24h)
$1.7K
Total volume
$2.4K
Liquidity
$7.6K
All-time range
18% – 21%
Our history
9 hours
Resolves
56d

How this resolves

This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.

Resolution rules as published by Polymarket — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.

Alert me when the odds move

It is at 18% now. Pick the number you care about.

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Odds are mirrored from Polymarket's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.

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