Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Polymarket traders are currently pricing "Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?" at a 5% probability, roughly flat over the last 3h (+0.3 point change).
- Volume (24h)
- $376
- Total volume
- $361.2K
- Liquidity
- $2.7K
- All-time range
- 5% – 5%
- Our history
- 3 hours
- Resolves
- 60d
How this resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026 according to the CDC case counter between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
Resolution rules as published by Polymarket — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.
Odds are mirrored from Polymarket's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.