Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?
Polymarket traders are currently pricing "Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?" at a 1% probability, roughly flat over the last 25h (-0.1 point change).
- Volume (24h)
- $86.1K
- Total volume
- $939.9K
- Liquidity
- $231K
- All-time range
- 1% – 3%
- Our history
- 9 days
- Resolves
- 14d
How this resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolution rules as published by Polymarket — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.
Odds are mirrored from Polymarket's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.