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Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31?

Resolves Jan 1, 2027

70%chance
▼ 6.5pt over 7h
0%50%100%Nov 7Nov 7

Polymarket traders are currently pricing "Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31?" at a 70% probability, down over the last 7h (-6.5 point change).

Volume (24h)
$18K
Total volume
$53.3K
Liquidity
$46K
All-time range
70% – 78%
Our history
7 hours
Resolves
55d

How this resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi military forces enter any part of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

"Houthi military forces" refers to the military forces of the Houthi movement (Ansar Allah), including any armed force operating under its direction or on its behalf.

"Enter" means that the Houthi military forces, even temporarily, deliberately operate within any part of Saudi Arabia, other than as prisoners of war or as emissaries as described below. Bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of activity will not qualify on their own. An announcement, threat, or claim of Houthi entry will not qualify without actual entry being established.

The entrance of Houthi emissaries for the purpose of negotiating an agreement or other diplomatic or commercial endeavors will not alone qualify.

In the event of genuine ambiguity, this market may remain open for three days after the specified date. If Houthi entry into Saudi Arabia is not established by the end of the third calendar day, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Resolution rules as published by Polymarket — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.

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Odds are mirrored from Polymarket's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.

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