Polymarket Politics

Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

Resolves Jan 1, 2027

98%chance

– 0.3pt over 15h

Polymarket traders are currently pricing "Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?" at a 98% probability, roughly flat over the last 15h (+0.3 point change).

Volume (24h): $86K
Total volume: $905.2K
Liquidity: $87.1K
All-time range: 97% – 98%
Our history: 15 hours
Resolves: 65d

How this resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 2026 US Midterm Elections happen on November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Resolution rules as published by Polymarket — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.

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Odds are mirrored from Polymarket's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.

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Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

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