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Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?

Resolves Jul 1, 2027

54%chance
– 0.5pt over 9h
0%50%100%Oct 27Oct 28

Polymarket traders are currently pricing "Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?" at a 54% probability, roughly flat over the last 9h (+0.5 point change).

Volume (24h)
$1.2K
Total volume
$165.6K
Liquidity
$46K
All-time range
53% – 54%
Our history
9 hours
Resolves
8mo

How this resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.

Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.

Resolution rules as published by Polymarket — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.

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It is at 54% now. Pick the number you care about.

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Odds are mirrored from Polymarket's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.

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