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Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?

Resolves Nov 1, 2026

99%chance
▲ 32.2pt over 17h
0%50%100%Oct 22Oct 23

Polymarket traders are currently pricing "Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?" at a 99% probability, up over the last 17h (+32.2 point change).

Volume (24h)
$603.6K
Total volume
$805K
Liquidity
$94K
All-time range
48% – 100%
Our history
22 hours
Resolves
8d

How this resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.

Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.

The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.

The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.

Resolution rules as published by Polymarket — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.

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Odds are mirrored from Polymarket's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.

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