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Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 15, 2026?

Resolves Nov 16, 2026

100%chance
▲ 0.8pt over 25h
0%50%100%Oct 22Oct 24

Polymarket traders are currently pricing "Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 15, 2026?" at a 100% probability, up over the last 25h (+0.8 point change).

Volume (24h)
$724
Total volume
$9.6K
Liquidity
$0
All-time range
78% – 100%
Our history
3 days
Resolves
21d

How this resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.

Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.

The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.

The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.

Resolution rules as published by Polymarket — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.

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Odds are mirrored from Polymarket's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.

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