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Will Ra'am win exactly 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?

Resolves Nov 30, 2026

21%chance
▼ 11.8pt over 2h
0%50%100%Oct 28Oct 28

Polymarket traders are currently pricing "Will Ra'am win exactly 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?" at a 21% probability, down over the last 2h (-11.8 point change).

Volume (24h)
$6.6K
Total volume
$9.7K
Liquidity
$1.8K
All-time range
21% – 33%
Our history
2 hours
Resolves
34d

How this resolves

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.

If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).

Resolution rules as published by Polymarket — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.

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It is at 21% now. Pick the number you care about.

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Odds are mirrored from Polymarket's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.

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