Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?
Polymarket traders are currently pricing "Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?" at a 16% probability, up over the last 13h (+1.9 point change).
- Volume (24h)
- $378
- Total volume
- $3.3K
- Liquidity
- $13K
- All-time range
- 14% – 18%
- Our history
- 29 hours
- Resolves
- 9d
How this resolves
The runoff round of the Brazilian presidential election is scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026. Legislative elections in Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. The United States midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to the single listed outcome that matches all three of the following: the winner of the Brazilian presidential election, the first Prime Minister of Israel to be sworn in as a result of the election, and the party that wins control of the United States Senate in the midterm elections.
For full rules for the Brazilian presidential election, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/brazil-presidential-election
For full rules for the Israeli Prime Minister, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel-after-the-next-election
For full rules for the United States Senate control, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-the-senate-in-2026
Additional options may be added to this market between market creation and resolution.
In the event that any constituent market resolves to "Other," this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve according to the sources named in the three markets linked above.
Resolution rules as published by Polymarket — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.
Odds are mirrored from Polymarket's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.