Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Polymarket traders are currently pricing "Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?" at a 19% probability, roughly flat over the last 6h (-0.5 point change).
- Volume (24h)
- $11.5K
- Total volume
- $323.2K
- Liquidity
- $25.8K
- All-time range
- 16% – 20%
- Our history
- 6 hours
- Resolves
- 56d
How this resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
Resolution rules as published by Polymarket — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.
Odds are mirrored from Polymarket's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.