Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Polymarket traders are currently pricing "Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?" at a 55% probability, up over the last 11d (+5 point change).
- Volume (24h)
- $19.6K
- Total volume
- $1.5M
- Liquidity
- $115.1K
- All-time range
- 40% – 55%
- Our history
- 12 days
How this resolves
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
Resolution rules as published by Polymarket — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.
Odds are mirrored from Polymarket's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.