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Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by March 31, 2027?

Resolves Apr 1, 2027

100%chance
▲ 50.0pt over 17h
0%50%100%Oct 27Oct 28

Polymarket traders are currently pricing "Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by March 31, 2027?" at a 100% probability, up over the last 17h (+50 point change).

Volume (24h)
$22.9K
Total volume
$21.8K
Liquidity
$81.4K
All-time range
27% – 100%
Our history
25 hours
Resolves
5mo

How this resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Flávio Bolsonaro returns to Brazil between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A "return" is defined as Flávio Bolsonaro physically entering the terrestrial territory of Brazil. Whether or not Bolsonaro enters Brazilian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

If it is confirmed that Flávio Bolsonaro was present in the terrestrial territory of Brazil at the time of market creation, this market will resolve to "Yes".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Resolution rules as published by Polymarket — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.

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It is at 100% now. Pick the number you care about.

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Odds are mirrored from Polymarket's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.

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