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Polymarket Politics

Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader?

Resolves Nov 4, 2026

83%chance
▲ 2.5pt over 1h
0%50%100%Nov 6Nov 6

Polymarket traders are currently pricing "Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader?" at a 83% probability, up over the last 1h (+2.5 point change).

Volume (24h)
$38.1K
Total volume
$66.3K
Liquidity
$19.7K
All-time range
81% – 83%
Our history
2 hours

How this resolves

This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election.

This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.

If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

Resolution rules as published by Polymarket — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.

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It is at 83% now. Pick the number you care about.

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Odds are mirrored from Polymarket's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.

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