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Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?

Resolves Nov 29, 2026

64%chance
▲ 5.0pt over 23h
0%50%100%Oct 10Oct 21

Polymarket traders are currently pricing "Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?" at a 64% probability, up over the last 23h (+5 point change).

Volume (24h)
$65K
Total volume
$628.7K
Liquidity
$196.2K
All-time range
57% – 70%
Our history
12 days
Resolves
39d

How this resolves

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taipei as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).

Resolution rules as published by Polymarket — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.

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It is at 64% now. Pick the number you care about.

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Odds are mirrored from Polymarket's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.

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