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Polymarket Politics

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?

Resolves Jan 1, 2027

27%chance
▼ 1.0pt over 6d
0%50%100%Oct 12Oct 20

Polymarket traders are currently pricing "Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?" at a 27% probability, down over the last 6d (-1 point change).

Volume (24h)
$8.9K
Total volume
$255.8K
Liquidity
$29.5K
All-time range
27% – 33%
Our history
7 days
Resolves
73d

How this resolves

This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.

An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.

Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.

Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.

If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Resolution rules as published by Polymarket — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.

Alert me when the odds move

It is at 27% now. Pick the number you care about.

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Odds are mirrored from Polymarket's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.

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