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Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31, 2027?

Resolves Jan 1, 2028

35%chance
– 0.0pt over 20m
0%50%100%Nov 10Nov 10

Polymarket traders are currently pricing "Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31, 2027?" at a 35% probability, roughly flat over the last 20m (0 point change).

Volume (24h)
$0
Total volume
$0
Liquidity
$1.3K
Our history
2 hours
Resolves
14mo

How this resolves

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially scheduled in Ukraine by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.

A qualifying referendum will be considered to be scheduled once a date for the referendum to take place has been officially scheduled and publicly announced by a relevant Ukrainian government authority with the legal jurisdiction to do so.

Once a qualifying referendum has been scheduled, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect resolution of this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution rules as published by Polymarket — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.

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Odds are mirrored from Polymarket's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.

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