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Polymarket Politics

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?

Resolves Dec 1, 2026

23%chance
▼ 9.0pt over 23h
0%50%100%Nov 5Nov 6

Polymarket traders are currently pricing "Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?" at a 23% probability, down over the last 23h (-9 point change).

Volume (24h)
$172.5K
Total volume
$523.5K
Liquidity
$81.4K
All-time range
22% – 40%
Our history
44 hours
Resolves
24d

How this resolves

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution rules as published by Polymarket — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.

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It is at 23% now. Pick the number you care about.

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Odds are mirrored from Polymarket's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.

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