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Polymarket Politics Closed

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

Resolves Jan 1, 2027

36%chance
– 0.0pt over 2h
0%50%100%Oct 28Oct 28

Polymarket traders are currently pricing "Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?" at a 36% probability, roughly flat over the last 2h (0 point change).

Volume (24h)
$55.9K
Total volume
$819.6K
Liquidity
$72.2K
Our history
6 hours
Resolves
65d

How this resolves

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution rules as published by Polymarket — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.

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It is at 36% now. Pick the number you care about.

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Odds are mirrored from Polymarket's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.

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