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Paris curfew by October 31?

Resolves Nov 1, 2026

99%chance
▲ 76.6pt over 8h
0%50%100%Oct 19Oct 19

Polymarket traders are currently pricing "Paris curfew by October 31?" at a 99% probability, up over the last 8h (+76.6 point change).

Volume (24h)
$29.4K
Total volume
$32.5K
Liquidity
$23K
All-time range
23% – 99%
Our history
8 hours
Resolves
12d

How this resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a curfew is officially announced in any part of the City of Paris, France between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Paris time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A curfew refers to a governmental order which generally prohibits the general population from being present in, or moving through, public spaces in the City of Paris, or a defined area of it, during a specific timeframe or specific hours. A qualifying curfew may be citywide or limited to specific arrondissements or neighborhoods of Paris, and must be officially declared by the City of Paris, the Paris Police Prefecture (Préfecture de police), or a French national authority.

Unofficial guidance, voluntary advisories, curfews applying only to minors or other specific groups, and conditional or prospective statements that a curfew may be imposed will not qualify. Orders restricting demonstrations or gatherings, closures of specific parks, facilities or venues, restrictions on business hours or sales, and transit suspensions will not qualify unless they also impose a curfew as defined above.

Any qualifying curfew which is officially announced by the specified date, 11:59 PM Paris local time will count regardless of if or when it goes into effect.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government announcements; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution rules as published by Polymarket — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.

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Odds are mirrored from Polymarket's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.

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