Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?
Polymarket traders are currently pricing "Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?" at a 2% probability, down over the last 13h (-12.3 point change).
- Volume (24h)
- $423.6K
- Total volume
- $484.1K
- Liquidity
- $53.9K
- All-time range
- 2% – 27%
- Our history
- 13 hours
How this resolves
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following groups of parties wins a combined total of 61 seats or more in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election: (a) The Democrats, Yashar, Together, and Yisrael Beiteinu; or (b) Likud, Otzma Yehudit, RZP-Zehut, Amcha Yisrael, United Torah Judaism, and Shas. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Israeli Knesset.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Resolution rules as published by Polymarket — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.
Odds are mirrored from Polymarket's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.