Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?
Polymarket traders are currently pricing "Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?" at a 25% probability, roughly flat over the last 23h (0 point change).
- Volume (24h)
- $334
- Total volume
- $426.6K
- Liquidity
- $61.3K
- All-time range
- 23% – 26%
- Our history
- 8 days
- Resolves
- 9mo
How this resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolution rules as published by Polymarket — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.
Odds are mirrored from Polymarket's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.