Polymarket Politics Closed

Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?

Resolves Nov 4, 2026

3%chance

▼ 0.9pt over 4d

Polymarket traders are currently pricing "Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?" at a 3% probability, down over the last 4d (-0.9 point change).

Volume (24h): $6.7K
Total volume: $65.4K
Liquidity: $317.6K
All-time range: 3% – 4%
Our history: 5 days
Resolves: 17d

How this resolves

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Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?

How this resolves

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