Kalshi Politics

Will Republican win the 2028 popular vote by 6.0% to 6.99%?

Resolves May 6, 2029

3%chance

– 0.0pt over 23h

Kalshi traders are currently pricing "Will Republican win the 2028 popular vote by 6.0% to 6.99%?" at a 3% probability, roughly flat over the last 23h (0 point change).

Volume (24h): $0
Total volume: $9.2K
Liquidity: $0
Open interest: $2.6K
All-time range: 3% – 4%
Our history: 9 days
Resolves: 31mo

How this resolves

If a member of the Republican Party wins the popular vote in 2028 by a margin of between 6.00-6.99%, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution rules as published by Kalshi — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.

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Odds are mirrored from Kalshi's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.

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Will Republican win the 2028 popular vote by 6.0% to 6.99%?

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