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Kalshi Politics

Will Republican win the 2028 popular vote by 5.0% to 5.99%?

Resolves May 6, 2029

3%chance
– 0.0pt over 37h
0%50%100%Oct 9Oct 19

Kalshi traders are currently pricing "Will Republican win the 2028 popular vote by 5.0% to 5.99%?" at a 3% probability, roughly flat over the last 37h (0 point change).

Volume (24h)
$0
Total volume
$3.9K
Liquidity
$0
Open interest
$2.8K
All-time range
2% – 3%
Our history
10 days
Resolves
31mo

How this resolves

If a member of the Republican Party wins the popular vote in 2028 by a margin of between 5.00-5.99%, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution rules as published by Kalshi — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.

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It is at 3% now. Pick the number you care about.

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Odds are mirrored from Kalshi's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.

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