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Kalshi Politics

Will Li Ganjie become the next leader of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) before Jan 1, 2045?

Resolves Jan 1, 2045

1%chance
– 0.0pt over 23h
0%50%100%Oct 14Nov 13

Kalshi traders are currently pricing "Will Li Ganjie become the next leader of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) before Jan 1, 2045?" at a 1% probability, roughly flat over the last 23h (0 point change).

Volume (24h)
$20
Total volume
$519
Liquidity
$0
Open interest
$236
All-time range
1% – 1%
Our history
35 days
Resolves
221mo

How this resolves

If Li Ganjie is announced as the first new non-interim leader of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) before Jan 1, 2045, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution rules as published by Kalshi — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.

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Odds are mirrored from Kalshi's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.

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A reader poll, separate from the market odds above.

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