MeleeMarkets Live
Kalshi Politics

Will it be reported by Clerk of the Crown in Chancery and the Clerk of the Crown for Northern Ireland that a writ for a UK parliamentary by-election is issued by the relevant Clerk of the Crown before Apr 1, 2027?

Resolves Apr 1, 2027

53%chance
▼ 2.5pt over 37h
0%50%100%Oct 9Oct 19

Kalshi traders are currently pricing "Will it be reported by Clerk of the Crown in Chancery and the Clerk of the Crown for Northern Ireland that a writ for a UK parliamentary by-election is issued by the relevant Clerk of the Crown before Apr 1, 2027?" at a 53% probability, down over the last 37h (-2.5 point change).

Volume (24h)
$205
Total volume
$5K
Liquidity
$0
Open interest
$2.1K
All-time range
38% – 61%
Our history
10 days
Resolves
5mo

How this resolves

If a writ for a UK parliamentary by-election is issued by the relevant Clerk of the Crown after Issuance and before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution rules as published by Kalshi — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.

Alert me when the odds move

It is at 53% now. Pick the number you care about.

%
Embed these odds on your site

Paste this where you want the card. It updates by itself and links back here. Add &theme=dark to the address for a dark card.

Odds are mirrored from Kalshi's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.

What do you think?

A reader poll, separate from the market odds above.

View all