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Kalshi Politics

Will GOP Nominee be Ken Paxton AND General Election Winner be Republican for Jan 2027?

Resolves Jan 3, 2028

40%chance
▲ 1.0pt over 32h
0%50%100%Oct 9Oct 19

Kalshi traders are currently pricing "Will GOP Nominee be Ken Paxton AND General Election Winner be Republican for Jan 2027?" at a 40% probability, up over the last 32h (+1 point change).

Volume (24h)
$2K
Total volume
$255.8K
Liquidity
$0
Open interest
$176.9K
All-time range
36% – 41%
Our history
9 days
Resolves
15mo

How this resolves

If ALL of the following occur before Jan 2027: GOP Nominee: Ken Paxton, General Election Winner: Republican, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution rules as published by Kalshi — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.

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It is at 40% now. Pick the number you care about.

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Odds are mirrored from Kalshi's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.

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