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Kalshi Politics

Will Derek Chauvin receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?

Resolves Jan 21, 2029

23%chance
– 0.5pt over 23h
0%50%100%Oct 9Oct 17

Kalshi traders are currently pricing "Will Derek Chauvin receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?" at a 23% probability, roughly flat over the last 23h (-0.5 point change).

Volume (24h)
$0
Total volume
$6.7K
Liquidity
$0
Open interest
$3K
All-time range
23% – 26%
Our history
9 days
Resolves
28mo

How this resolves

If Derek Chauvin has been given a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve during Trump's second term and before Jan 21, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution rules as published by Kalshi — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.

Alert me when the odds move

It is at 23% now. Pick the number you care about.

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Odds are mirrored from Kalshi's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.

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