Kalshi Politics

Will the Republican Party win the 2030 Texas Senate race?

Resolves Nov 5, 2031

75%chance

– 0.0pt over 30m

Kalshi traders are currently pricing "Will the Republican Party win the 2030 Texas Senate race?" at a 75% probability, roughly flat over the last 30m (0 point change).

Volume (24h): $0
Total volume: $0
Liquidity: $0
Our history: 7 hours
Resolves: 61mo

How this resolves

If the person sworn in to the Class I Senate seat of Texas pursuant to the November 5, 2030 election is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution rules as published by Kalshi — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.

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Will the Republican Party win the 2030 Texas Senate race?

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