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Kalshi Politics

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in New York?

Resolves Nov 7, 2029

53%chance
– 0.5pt over 23h
0%50%100%Oct 9Oct 20

Kalshi traders are currently pricing "Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in New York?" at a 53% probability, roughly flat over the last 23h (+0.5 point change).

Volume (24h)
$10
Total volume
$11.4K
Liquidity
$0
Open interest
$6.5K
All-time range
51% – 59%
Our history
11 days
Resolves
37mo

How this resolves

If Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2028 Class III New York Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution rules as published by Kalshi — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.

Alert me when the odds move

It is at 53% now. Pick the number you care about.

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Odds are mirrored from Kalshi's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.

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