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Kalshi Politics

Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Kendrick Jarrell Beaird in Beaird v. United States

Resolves Aug 1, 2028

54%chance
– 0.0pt over 23h
0%50%100%Oct 9Oct 17

Kalshi traders are currently pricing "Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Kendrick Jarrell Beaird in Beaird v. United States" at a 54% probability, roughly flat over the last 23h (0 point change).

Volume (24h)
$0
Total volume
$2.7K
Liquidity
$0
Open interest
$1.1K
All-time range
39% – 81%
Our history
8 days
Resolves
22mo

How this resolves

If the Supreme Court, in Beaird v. United States, rules courts must independently interpret the Sentencing Guidelines or apply a narrower deference framework than Stinson when considering Guidelines commentary, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution rules as published by Kalshi — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.

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It is at 54% now. Pick the number you care about.

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Odds are mirrored from Kalshi's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.

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