MeleeMarkets Live
Kalshi Politics

Will Thomas Massie announce a run for President of the United States in 2028?

Resolves Nov 7, 2028

45%chance
– 0.5pt over 23h
0%50%100%Oct 11Oct 28

Kalshi traders are currently pricing "Will Thomas Massie announce a run for President of the United States in 2028?" at a 45% probability, roughly flat over the last 23h (+0.5 point change).

Volume (24h)
$0
Total volume
$0
Liquidity
$0
All-time range
25% – 50%
Our history
17 days
Resolves
25mo

How this resolves

If Thomas Massie has announced that they will run for President of the United States in 2028 after Issuance and before Nov 7, 2028, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution rules as published by Kalshi — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.

Alert me when the odds move

It is at 45% now. Pick the number you care about.

%
Embed these odds on your site

Paste this where you want the card. It updates by itself and links back here. Add &theme=dark to the address for a dark card.

Odds are mirrored from Kalshi's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.

What do you think?

A reader poll, separate from the market odds above.

View all