Kalshi Politics

Who will win the next presidential election?

Resolves Nov 7, 2029

10%chance

– 0.3pt over 23h

Kalshi traders are currently pricing "Who will win the next presidential election?" at a 10% probability, roughly flat over the last 23h (-0.3 point change).

Volume (24h): $9.8K
Total volume: $4.5M
Liquidity: $0
Open interest: $2.6M
All-time range: 10% – 11%
Our history: 11 days
Resolves: 37mo

How this resolves

If Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is the next person inaugurated as President for the term beginning in 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution rules as published by Kalshi — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.

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Who will win the next presidential election?

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