Kalshi Politics

Will the Republican party win the Presidency in 2032?

Resolves Nov 2, 2033

51%chance

– 0.0pt over 23h

Kalshi traders are currently pricing "Will the Republican party win the Presidency in 2032?" at a 51% probability, roughly flat over the last 23h (0 point change).

Volume (24h): $137
Total volume: $307
Liquidity: $0
Open interest: $190
All-time range: 42% – 51%
Our history: 20 days
Resolves: 85mo

How this resolves

If a representative of the Republican party is inaugurated as President for the term beginning January 20, 2033, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution rules as published by Kalshi — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.

Trade on Kalshi ↗ Compare

Alert me when the odds move

It is at 51% now. Pick the number you care about.

Embed these odds on your site

Paste this where you want the card. It updates by itself and links back here. Add &theme=dark to the address for a dark card.

<iframe src="https://meleemarkets.com/embed.php?m=5102" width="340" height="200" style="border:0;border-radius:16px;max-width:100%" loading="lazy" title="Live odds: Will the Republican party win the Presidency in 2032?"></iframe>

Odds are mirrored from Kalshi's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.

View all

Polymarket Politics

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Vol $2.7M today · $29M total

45% – 0.0pt

Polymarket Politics

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Vol $1.4M today · $15.2M total · resolves in 6d

93% ▲ +1.0pt

Will the Republican party win the Presidency in 2032?

How this resolves

What do you think?

More Politics markets