MeleeMarkets Live
Kalshi Politics

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez defeat Marco Rubio in the 2028 presidential election, with Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez as the Democratic nominee and Marco Rubio as the Republican nominee?

Resolves Jan 20, 2029

4%chance
– 0.0pt over 23h
0%50%100%Oct 9Oct 17

Kalshi traders are currently pricing "Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez defeat Marco Rubio in the 2028 presidential election, with Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez as the Democratic nominee and Marco Rubio as the Republican nominee?" at a 4% probability, roughly flat over the last 23h (0 point change).

Volume (24h)
$0
Total volume
$1.6K
Liquidity
$0
Open interest
$1.3K
All-time range
3% – 4%
Our history
8 days
Resolves
28mo

How this resolves

If Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez defeats Marco Rubio in the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution rules as published by Kalshi — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.

Alert me when the odds move

It is at 4% now. Pick the number you care about.

%
Embed these odds on your site

Paste this where you want the card. It updates by itself and links back here. Add &theme=dark to the address for a dark card.

Odds are mirrored from Kalshi's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.

What do you think?

A reader poll, separate from the market odds above.

View all