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Kalshi Politics

Will Gavin Newsom and JD Vance be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?

Resolves Nov 7, 2028

12%chance
– 0.5pt over 23h
0%50%100%Oct 9Oct 17

Kalshi traders are currently pricing "Will Gavin Newsom and JD Vance be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?" at a 12% probability, roughly flat over the last 23h (-0.5 point change).

Volume (24h)
$194
Total volume
$79.3K
Liquidity
$0
Open interest
$38K
All-time range
3% – 19%
Our history
8 days
Resolves
25mo

How this resolves

If Gavin Newsom (D) and JD Vance (R) are the nominees for the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution rules as published by Kalshi — MeleeMarkets doesn't set or interpret these, we just mirror them.

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It is at 12% now. Pick the number you care about.

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Odds are mirrored from Kalshi's public market data and may lag the live order book slightly. Informational only — not financial advice. How we source data.

What do you think?

A reader poll, separate from the market odds above.

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